12 NFL Handicapping Betting Tips from Expert Pro Football Handicappers 2024

Today, Doc’s Sports Service is recognized as the premier and most honest sports information service in the United States and below you will find 12 NFL handicapping tips that would be as different as the personalities in our group.

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Trying to better grasp NFL handicapping and specifically identify the best bets on Zach Wilson and the New York Jets.

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Here are 12 NFL handicapping tips from our team of experts:Here are 12 NFL handicapping tips from our team of experts:

In NFL knowledge and information is easily available for each of the 32 teams making it one of the hardest sports to handicap at DOC’S SPORTS. Petty did another memory jolt this week but one must remember all the teams in the NFL are professionals and there is little real correlation from week to week. Many a time a certain team will be humbled by a team in the previous week, and a green las gambler is certain to bet on this team the next week on the grounds that, again they would be trounced. That is often a poor proposition as once the pride of professional players takes over the team will play much better the following week. Sometimes you get an over-confident team, and I always prefer to play a team that was terribly defeated the previous week.

ROBERT FERRINGO – I do honestly have to say that betting on the NFL is one of my most favorite things to do. Many people believe it is one of the toughest niches for an athlete to break and they attempt to complicate it even further than it already is. My single advice for anyone who is just beginning to bet football is do not get worried about spread betting, just look for a winner. As much as possible, people should not dismiss their bet just because they do not preference the spread they want or bigger parlay. Outright trends for the NFL favorites for the last decade, from 2004 to 2014 are 1283-1210-67 against the spread. The percentage is about fifty or actually slightly less than fifty (49. 5 percent to be more precise). However, the spread varied to a degree that the final scores of NFL games were above or below 10 points a game and only 84 percent of the time, the outright winner of a game covered the spread. It stated that working from home is possible 1 percent of the time. What that means is that an increase in the number only takes place during every six or seven games – or about twice a week. Never take an underdog hoping he will be able to make a much closer spread and never take a favorite because the line is 8. 5, imagine, and instead of 7 you got 5. 0. There are high probabilities that your bet will be covered if you go for the outright winner.

GRIFFIN MURPHY - Let me, NFL is one of the games that I enjoy placing a bet on. Football boast about quarterbacks as if they are gigantic. The matchup will always be relative to whether or not the quarterback you are betting on is fast. Then it’s how the defense say’s it is handling rushing or passing quarterbacks. Such trap bets can be seen frequently in NFL. At times, the margin seems to be clearly drawn in the favor of a particular team, this leads the public to ‘chase the line’. This usually affirms into a mismatch trap bet or develops into a mid-tournament sense-bet. My preferred kinds of bets are live bets, especially with regards to rushing quarterbacks in the NFL games, and I am inclined more to spreads instead of moneylines.

RAPHAEL ESPARZA – They now start to appear the second batch of line movements. In regards to the NFL, most handicappers come out with numbers either before or around the time of the late Sunday NBC game. Instantly, the numbers will shift, and by the end of a late Sunday football game, typically, gamblers are prepared to wager on the upcoming week’s football games. It is expected that between Wednesday and Thursday the NFL numbers will shift once more and that is when I usually focus on the games that I have marked. At times it is favorable especially in the line movement while at other times it is so destructive especially for the number (although at least I know the how the number will be moving within the weekend). Waiting for that second line movement will establish something such as how the weather shall be on that Sunday and the list of injured players will be much more clear than at the beginning of the week.

Strike point sports – some teams in the NFL can just not perform up to the par as a favorite. The often stated reasons could be that they are so overrated to the audience or it could also be coaching strategies or inconsistent performance from the quarterbacks. But there some filial teams that you would not like to encounter particularly when they come in the disguise of the big favorite. The Dallas Cowboys would typically be considered a cable=np team. Some other teams – most often the clubs, which are based on a powerful running attack and the solid defense – are always greatly kostenlose porn more effective in the underdog role than they are in the capacity of favorites. The Tennessee Titans under Mike Vrabel have been a good example here as they have been good when they are scoring points and have won some games by outright when they were still deemed to be underdogs of 4. 0 or more. Do not attempt to go against the odds with such teams. Either don’t go near it at all or, if you have to play this game, do it whilst pinching your nose.

ARUN SHIVA (INDIAN COWBOY) - There is kind of one core concept that we like and actually apply in NFL handicapping that I’d like us to concentrate and explain more. This is summed up in what has been referred to as the active underdog over theory. Active underdog is basically an underdog that is perceived to be an active underdog this means that it is either out to rejuvenate after a defeat in a previous season, coming from a double digit loss, or was beaten squarely by a team they were favored to beat among others then you take ‘over’ with such teams. You, therefore, expect a team that is eyeing to go over the line that is currently set for them. So any time that you believe that an underdog team is going to perform better against a particular team then you take the ‘over’. This is because if the underdog is highly motivated as we discussed for revenge, coming off a double-digit loss, or outright losing to a team they were favored straight up against, then without a doubt they will be motivated to score a level higher than what the bookie has pegged them to score in the next game.

JASON SHARPE – For basically anything that has to do with understanding how to bet on the NFL, the single biggest thing that you want to try and do is probably think freely. Uniquely, most people consider the NFL betting market to be the most challenging one to beat for a sports bettor as no other sport gets scrutinized as much as the NFL does by fans and the media. If they are of an opinion like anybody else concerning an NFL team then they should not be betting on the team or against it. Experts state that ninety-five percent of the NFL bettors are likely to incur a loss while betting during the regular season. Attempting to think like everyone else is surely a sure avenue to losing if you are aiming at the NFL. Look for good arguments to attempt to go against the grain and play against the line in the NFL because the betting public is responsible for such lines. To be specific, the smart money is on the underdog in NFL games against the public. Thus, when there is such a spread of minus four at the beginning of the week, for the entire week all you hear is everyone telling you that this particular team will walk over the other and if the -4 team has become -7 on game day, it is much wiser to bet against this particular team as you will be getting value taking the other side at +7.

DOUG UPSTONE – That is right but one of the most important things, and I must say the biggest, when it comes to wager placing in the NFL is not over reacting. Again and again, either Team A beats market expectations by a large margin, or the organization fails to even meet the market’s expectations. Oddsmakers don’t forget, especially on public teams, that the average bettor will overreact to what they have just been witness to and setup a line for the next game knowing they will bite on it and leave them uncovered again. One example of reactionary betting is illustrated above; a way of preventing it is to ask the question of why either of the above instances happened. Was the turnover battle lopsided to team A and was team A able to score every time they got a short field? Did Team B actually gain more yardage than the opponent by at least 100 yards but fumble three times, (losing only the yardage, not the ball) or does 100 yard penalties mean that the entire game they were behind the chains? Or was one club simply playing the game of their lives or the worst game in their lives that usually does not repeat itself in the next game? To transcend being a square bettor learn from the box scores so that you get to know odd results and have the chances placed in your favor.

AUGUST YOUNG – However, the NFL market is rather efficient, which means you need to choose both the team and the message carefully. Knowing where these situational spots are can be the difference between winning and losing. It’s usually more effective than trying to draw real lines which are sharper than the odds of Vegas. Thus, trends specific to situations can be highly lucrative in the event that they are pertinent and prognostic instead of depictive. Here is an example of a predictive trend: For the month of September, small road underdogs that are below +7 and finished the prior season with six wins or less unless they are playing a high total under 44 went 6-3. 4 percent ATS for an increase of +9,040 between Year 2011 and Year 2020. Indeed, while assessing such a trend, it makes absolute sense. This is always going to mean that the public is going to come in heavy against these bad teams from last season and the oddsmakers are fully aware of this. We just said that the NFL market is almost perfectly efficient and that the best way to take advantage of this state of affairs – at least in this case – is to be on the same side as the book and win in the long-term without ever having to worry about conventional handicapping. An example of a descriptive trend which you will want to stay away from at all costs would be something like this: Throw in the fact that Aaron Rodgers is 10-3 on Thursday Night Football. First of all, this is a small sample volume. It is also a purely descriptive measure which can give no forecast into the future and is also contaminated by what has already happened.

VERNON CROY – this event is one of especially difficult athletic competitions with which it is possible to earn money betting at, and that is due to the fact that the line is always particularly stringent. Compared to any other sport, the oddsmakers dedicate much of their time in moving the lines as the NFL overwhelmingly contributes to the flow of traffic to the books. Those books can’t be going out with such weak lines at all and you definitely can’t afford to be weak in the featured games. The best tip I can give you when betting the NFL is to always - and I repeat always - buy the hook or half point on key numbers: 3. 5, 7. 5, 10. 5, 14. 5. Purchase those points and this would mean 3, 7, 10, 14, and many more would have given you the prowess of not losing or even a draw since the lines are very skinny. Besides, always take the side of public teams as soon as the lines are released and non-public teams right before the games so you get the best of lines. The lines will shift substantially with the action arriving in during the week, so try to take advantage when you can.

TONY GEORGE - Remember one thing about the NFL: The strictest and harshest definition is now possible if one considers that for the homosexual it is along the line that these functions are organized. You are not betting teams or games, you are betting into a number. There are particular quantities, according to the leagues’ terms, significant numbers or, in particular, the fall numbers in the NFL. Those are the numbers in which the numbers games are most likely to converge in the final score. Such numbers as 3, 6, 7 and 10 are numbers I do not want to be on. Thus, a half a point over or under these key numbers depending on whom one is handicapping will be very important. A team that is a home underdog by three points is not nearly as appealing as +3. 5-point home dog. It must be understood that in NFL, half a point is very important, more so around such fixed numbers.

Different from the next tip, the advice I received from a Vegas sports bettor when I was starting out my betting spree was given approximately 25 years ago, and I still rely on it till date. Know how to draw your own lines at least a week beforehand. For instance, the Steelers are scheduled to face the Ravens in Pittsburgh on October the 15 after a match with the Bengals the previous week October the 8. I draw my line for the October 15 game prior to the game on October 8. It will therefore take me seven days after the playing of the current NFL week to generate new numbers, which I do on a Wednesday. This will help you avoid getting carried away by performances that are too good or bad that teams are giving compared to their usual standards. Indeed, the secret of not being beatable is to begin to think like a bookmaker. This specific handicapping tool has played a big part in my ability to beat the NFL sites and place in the top 20 in the Westgate NFL Super Contest. I would like to repeat that we do not buy and sell teams but numbers.